Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.162640 0.183419 0.205279 0.229938 0.256926 0.285510 0.318020
2025-04-06 0.133834 0.161660 0.192510 0.229067 0.271011 0.317439 0.372516
2025-04-13 0.112951 0.144964 0.182116 0.228028 0.282822 0.345698 0.422852
2025-04-20 0.098850 0.133975 0.176429 0.230846 0.298018 0.377468 0.477728
2025-04-27 0.089206 0.127010 0.174390 0.237105 0.316809 0.413546 0.538531
2025-05-04 0.079193 0.118269 0.168979 0.238170 0.328522 0.440814 0.589036
2025-05-11 0.072542 0.113139 0.167502 0.243700 0.345592 0.474854 0.648632
2025-05-18 0.067086 0.108986 0.166760 0.249768 0.363189 0.509758 0.710054
2025-05-25 0.059918 0.101595 0.160832 0.248133 0.370057 0.530564 0.753512
2025-06-01 0.054113 0.095590 0.156267 0.247844 0.378363 0.553136 0.799530
2025-06-08 0.048860 0.089873 0.151589 0.246901 0.385404 0.573889 0.843353
2025-06-15 0.045817 0.087327 0.151346 0.252198 0.401202 0.606773 0.904140
2025-06-22 0.041550 0.082473 0.147369 0.251896 0.409196 0.629502 0.952311
2025-06-29 0.037687 0.077899 0.143448 0.251349 0.416644 0.651524 0.999943
2025-07-06 0.034164 0.073542 0.139512 0.250445 0.423354 0.672510 1.046485
2025-07-13 0.031776 0.070968 0.138266 0.253605 0.436151 0.702437 1.106250
2025-07-20 0.030255 0.069842 0.139326 0.260423 0.454664 0.741043 1.179204
2025-07-27 0.027916 0.066906 0.137052 0.261609 0.464380 0.766860 1.234179
2025-08-03 0.026538 0.065711 0.137703 0.267593 0.481720 0.804309 1.306783
2025-08-10 0.025345 0.064765 0.138704 0.274146 0.500090 0.843653 1.382902
2025-08-17 0.023085 0.061357 0.134982 0.272389 0.504953 0.862587 1.429125
2025-08-24 0.021220 0.058582 0.132214 0.272082 0.512049 0.884965 1.480798
2025-08-31 0.019435 0.055773 0.129165 0.271067 0.517841 0.905349 1.529753